Why?
The Bethesda that made good games is dead and gone. It's just several shareholders and Tom in a trench coat wearing its skin like a poncho hoping you won't notice the smell.
People are going to buy it. It's going to have "Mixed" reviews and support will be dropped by 2026. It's going to be a broken, buggy mess on release, break modding and be an overall weak experience.
Why buy it? It's gonna suck.
Possibly unpopular opinion: You shouldn't be allowed to refund Bethesda games. You should just be told that any reasonable person would know better than to buy a post Fallout 4 Bethesda game within a year of launch and you should not be covered under any refund policy.