• There’s no way any number of women would choose someone promising to curtail their medical rights.
• There’s no way any non-white would choose someone so racist
• There’s no way any immigrant would choose someone scapegoating their culture and promising to deport them even if they are citizens
• There’s no way anyone who has listened to his speeches would choose a gibberish idiot
• There’s no way anyone who witnessed the mess last time around would want to repeat it
• There’s no way anyone who older person would choose a known real estate grifter
• There’s no way a parent would choose anyone threatening their child’s future

I’m sure we could go on, but I just read an article that Trump did better than expected with every demographic except college educated women. How ?

• No more environment (hate the outside anyway)
• No more Ukraine (the weather in Kyiv sucks and I have a gluten allergy who needs grain anyway)
• More refugees into Europe (yeah Europe is totally prepared for that and won’t cause more fascists to win European elections)

Gerrymandering is clearly electoral fraud, but

• it’s not black and white. There’s no clear line between fraud and good
• the people benefiting the fraud are the ones in control of it
• gerrymandering does not affect presidential or senate elections

I will be shocked if the cost of living comes down at a notable rate when compared to other developed countries.

Conservatives have never been better at managing the economy, yet people believe they are, for some reason ¯_(ツ)_/¯

The amount of interviews I’ve seen where people say “yeah, he has some concerning talking points, but he promised a good economy” boil my fucking blood. The safety of half the population for the empty promise of jobs.

Can’t wait til they somehow spin the failed economy against the Dems again in four years.

Maybe sexism and racism are not isolated to the right wing, possibly a lot more in the centre than assumed. Maybe just enough in certain demos to affect turnout.

The honest truth is that the Harris/Walz campaign did not motivate their voter base. People were talking about doing fucking vote swaps with people in swing states because they didn't want to vote for Harris.

I have no idea what the fuck the whole "courting the right" angle was, but it failed. Maybe it was the stance on Gaza, maybe it was the stance on immigration, maybe it was just feeling spurned by the party for caring about alot of issues like trans rights Harris left to the wayside while campaigning, but it didn't motivate people to cut through the bullshit and go to the polls.

Meanwhile, Trump stayed in the news 24/7, constantly doubling down on his rhetoric, and his voters mostly all turned out again.

If Biden hadn't insisted on running despite his declining mental state, she wouldn't have won a primary, not very likely anyway. She is uninspiring and she carries the baggage of the struggling/non-existent middle class, housing market, 12 million border crossings etc.

I don't know what the final turnout figures will be, but if it is a lower turnout, I can think of a few:

• 2020 was the easiest year to mail in a ballot ever, and it got harder again as states reinstated various difficulties with mail in ballots.
• So many people didn't have to go into work in 2020, they had more flexibility to vote however they needed to do it.