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Maybe AI won't be taking all of our jobs after all?
(lemmy.world)
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this post was submitted on 22 Oct 2023
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Every time I see posts like this I remember a frequent argument I had in the early 2000's.
Every time I talked with photography students (I worked at an art school) or a general photography enthusiast, I got the same smug predictions about digital photography. The resolution sucked, the color sucked, the artist doesn't have enough control, etc. They all assured me that digital photography might be nice for casual vacation photos and maybe a few specialty applications but no way, no how, not even when hell freezes over would any serious photographer ever consider digital.
At the time I would think back to my annoying grade school discussions with teachers who assured me that (dot matrix) printers just sucked. Serious writing was done by hand and if you didn't know cursive you might as well be illiterate.
For some reasons people keep forgetting that technology marches on. The dumb glitches that are so easy to make fun of now, will get addressed. There are billions of dollars pouring into AI development. Every major company and country is developing them. The pay rates for AI developer jobs attract huge amounts of people to solve those problems.
And up to now we have zero indication that the current approach isn't a dead end. Bill Gates, for instance, thinks that GPT-4 is a development plateau: https://heise.de/-9337989
Bill has made some famously bad predictions in the past. Here's a small sample https://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/the-worst-things-bill-gates-ever-said-a6990046.html
It's possible that the current $100 billion market size of AI and all the AI job openings are completely misplaced but that's indication that a lot of people have pretty high expectations that AI will continue to grow.
We have plenty of indication, when we look at past technologies that plenty thought to have plateaued still being improved.
Didn't Bill Gates think spam would been a thing of the past ... in 2006.
My junk folder disagrees.
There's either the "it'll never work" take or the "it'll destroy the industry!" take, and both are kinda childish. New technologies are tools, nothing more, nothing less. Learn to use them and they'll make your life easier. Integrate them if they're threatening your livelihood. Learn and adapt, it's how progress has always worked.