I predicted to the lib I work with that voter turnout this election would be far lower than last time and he was adamant that it would be high; it should be a lot higher if it's going to meet the numbers from four years ago, shouldn't it?

I expected it to be low but I didn't think it would be this bad; if this number doesn't spike it's going to be worse than 2016.

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[–] sovietknuckles@hexbear.net 21 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

That chart compares the number of 2024 early voters to the total number of voters in past years, not early voters in past years. That article includes another chart which shows a comparison with 2020 early voting:

Early vote totals since 2012

So Dems are definitely in a worse place than 2020, but maybe they're not doing worse than in 2016

[–] UlyssesT@hexbear.net 10 points 2 months ago (2 children)

Are Dems presumed to be the ones doing most of the early voting?

[–] Sulvor@hexbear.net 8 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Its actually a fairly even split last time I looked.

Although all they know is the registration of the early voters.

I think I'm still registered Dem from the 2016 primaries but voted for Claudia, and I imagine a non-insignificant number of Reps are voting for Kamala and the unregistered might? lean Trump