this post was submitted on 22 Oct 2024
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United States | News & Politics

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A new poll suggests that Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein is drawing more voters from former President Donald Trump than from Vice President Kamala Harris.

According to a Noble Predictive Insights survey released last week, Harris holds a narrow lead over Trump in a hypothetical three-way race. With Stein on the ballot, Harris' lead expands, pointing to a potential spoiler effect similar to what many Democrats blamed Stein for doing to Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election.

For Trump, the emergence of Stein as a potential spoiler may be a critical factor in battleground states, where even a small shift in votes could determine the outcome. For Harris, Stein's candidacy could paradoxically provide an unexpected advantage, drawing votes from Trump and narrowing his pathway to victory.

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[–] bigkahuna1986@lemmy.ml 120 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

I won't believe a single poll until this election is over. There is so much incentive for misinformation out there it is unbearable. Just get out and vote.

[–] Lemmygradwontallowme@hexbear.net 32 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)
[–] tetris11@lemmy.ml 11 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

not even remotely relevant, but hilarious af. upvote

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[–] Alsephina@lemmy.ml 42 points 2 weeks ago (15 children)

Libs will still blame leftists like blue maga wants them to.

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[–] GissaMittJobb@lemmy.ml 42 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)

I'm struggling really hard to see which voter is on the fence between Trump and Stein. Wouldn't it be more likely to be on the fence between Stein and Harris, or Stein and the couch?

[–] maniacalmanicmania@aussie.zone 24 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

I think Trump draws a lot of broad support from his 'anti-establishment' rhetoric so it kinda makes sense for folks to look to other anti-establishment candidates as an alternative to him. There's a tendency to look down upon Trump voters as only right wingers, conspiracists etc and not really understand that a lot of his support is superficial and based on limited information.

In a way it's not so much that Stein or other left candidates are spoilers for the establishment Dems but more the case that figures like Trump are spoilers for progressive alternatives to the establishment.

[–] geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml 15 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Jill Stein is providing spite voters an option to not vote for Donald Trump.

Hillary took a lot of friendly fire in 2016 from the Bernie Bros who were not too happy.

[–] BobDole@hexbear.net 25 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

It’s a fun thing to tell yourself, but more Sanders voters voted for Clinton in 2016 than Clinton voters voted for Obama in 2008.

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[–] GarbageShootAlt2@lemmy.ml 15 points 2 weeks ago

Not as many people hate Harris specifically as hated Hillary, but a lot of people (for good and bad reasons) hate the Dems and also Kamala to some extent.

[–] Naryn@lemmy.world 14 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

People who don't like Trump but are too anti Democrat to vote Harris

[–] FriendBesto@lemmy.ml 13 points 1 week ago

One could still be pro Democrat or pro democracy, and still do not like Harris. Many things can be true at the same time.

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[–] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 40 points 2 weeks ago (9 children)
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[–] pjwestin@lemmy.world 35 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Democrats will still blame Stein if they lose, and even though their explicit strategy is to pick off disaffected Republicans, they'll never blame Chase Oliver. It's just like in 2016, when Hillary used the exact same strategy, and they blamed Stein, even though Gary Johnson took home a much higher percentage of the vote in most swing states. They don't care about spoiler candidates; they just want to punch left, especially when they need a scapegoat for a loss.

[–] Objection@lemmy.ml 13 points 1 week ago (2 children)

What's wild to me is that they actually put out attack ads targeting the Green party, which tells me they're believing their own propaganda.

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[–] ShimmeringKoi@hexbear.net 35 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)
[–] josie@vegantheoryclub.org 18 points 1 week ago

If the democrats lose it will be because their entire campaign is "we are not Trump, also if we lose the election it's Russia's fault"

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[–] orcrist@lemm.ee 31 points 1 week ago (16 children)

Do you think all of those people who have been saying that third-party voters are going to destroy the US will be apologizing in the comment section here?

[–] Flocklesscrow@lemm.ee 21 points 1 week ago (2 children)

First past the post is a terrible design. Let's rank choice and move on.

lol, pie in the sky right?

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[–] pregnantwithrage@lemmy.world 28 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (6 children)

Without looking at any statistics or polling, I think the spoiler effect is not as prominent and is over stated for one reason.

If I'm going out of my way to not vote for the Democrats or Republicans and voting third party that would mean that I dislike my options so much that I'm giving a fuck you to the two party system.

What people can gather from this is if you said there was only two options I would just sit out and therefore it wasn't going to affect either candidate regardless.

I'm open to be convinced otherwise but I think candidates blaming spoilers should look at the electoral college and themselves when every 4 years they are ready to blame single digit candidates for their losses.

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[–] josie@vegantheoryclub.org 23 points 1 week ago

Dem mental gymnastics are going into overdrive rn

[–] ShinkanTrain@lemmy.ml 15 points 1 week ago (1 children)

You heard'em, start campaigning for Stein if you want Kamala to win.

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