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Lol. There is no time. Replacing an incumbent at the last minute is a death sentence for a political campaign. It would be the most foolish option. Even if Biden came out and said he's stepping back and letting Kamala Harris take the spot, you'd be fighting an uphill battle for people who haven't been paying attention to her work as VP, which the uninformed thinks does nothing.
That's not even taking into account all the sexist and racist shitheads who have been doing all the fear mongering and hand-wringing about the prospect of Harris becoming president by simply being VP. We have a bunch of really shitty people in this country...
That is complete and utter bullshit and smarter minds than me are already advising it, including one of the biggest analysts in the industry, Nate Silver. Here, let me walk you through it:
I've thought this through for quite some time and I think you're missing the opportunity for Democrats to seize the narrative.
It doesn't have to -- nor should it be -- Harris. I can think of half a dozen other candidates with semi-national profiles who could easily surge in polling with such viral media attention following a Biden resignation.
All we know is what doesn't work, and what doesn't work was shown last night. It has been showing in poll after poll after poll despite people burying their heads in the sand: a President with approval ratings in the 30s, and a Presidential candidate who is FAR behind in every data-point compared to where he was in 2020. Need I remind you that Biden took this debate out of pure desperation to begin with, and now he's now 2 full steps further back than where he needs to be as my link on battle-ground undecided voters proves.
I've listened to Jon Stewart, Katie Couric, 2 different NYT podcasts, post-PBS analysis, Pod Save America (former Obama/VP Biden staffers), Washington Week roundtable -- and they are all echoing the same fucking thing:
It is time to try something different.
Given the timing that nearly all the primaries are done, his replacement would necessarily be someone no one even has the chance to vote on. This is a tremendous risk.
However, if he announced someone like "announcing my new chief of staff: Obama"...
That would be interesting and I'm frankly open to it.
I don't think people not voting is a big deal because frankly we didn't have a legitimate primary season this cycle anyway. More importantly, if Biden himself voluntarily stepped down and endorsed someone else, then that at least channels those votes through Biden.
I'm laughing my ass off that you even try to source Nate Silver. Member when he was right those two times a long ass time ago? 🙄
You checked his accuracy rate, friend? It's not good. He makes prediction models, buddy. Well, then after they aren't very good, he writes a ton about how they were actually great and everyone misunderstood what the data REALLY was saying.
I'm laughing you don't seem to understand how statistics and probability work. But please, DO tell how he was wrong -- I'm going to enjoy this.
But hey, excellent attempt to cop-out of the myriad of other points in my comment, buddy. Can only respond to maybe 10% of a comment but want to try to take down a leading statistician? Okie-dokie!
Man its already a death sentance. They can't hurt it any more than than that debate did.
As literally every single outlet has already pointed out, plenty of other candidates have had the same issue, and come right back from it. Y'all need to chill out.
You cannott undo dementia or Alzheimers the mans brain is going. With how few press conferences and speeches he has done without a teleprompter its fairly clear that this is NOT new.
He needs to grow a pair and gracefully step down, or he is just handing this to Trump on a silver platter.
If Biden is the head of the ticket he’s going to lose. Full stop.
Absolutely. And given his rate of decline, how fucked are we if he suffers a medical emergency one month out?