this post was submitted on 13 Dec 2023
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[–] AngryCommieKender@lemmy.world 13 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (1 children)

I'm gonna put the odds at roughly 1000:1 that he does.

Actually, there are betting sites for this that would be, supposedly, more accurate than I am at creating those odds. What are the odds on the betting sites?

Edit: I'm not finding the odds.....

Edit 2: Apparently there are 5:1 odds on if Trump takes a plea bargain. I would have set those a bit higher since he is willing to settle cases, but I doubt he's willing to accept jail time of any sort.

[–] Makeitstop@lemmy.world 12 points 11 months ago

I can't see trump taking a plea deal while he's still running for president. He's going to try to delay as long as he can, get elected, and then use his position as president to weasel out of any charges, even if it means pardoning himself. And since he's that number 1 target, the one that they want bad enough to give lenient plea deals to others in exchange for testimony, I find it hard to believe that he'd be offered a plea that doesn't send him to prison. So why admit to being guilty when he can keep telling his followers that it's a witch hunt and generate more support?