this post was submitted on 14 Oct 2024
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Image is a frame taken from this video of Iranian missiles raining down on Israel without interception due to a weak and depleted air defense system after a year of war and genocide.


Mao, 1956:

Now U.S. imperialism is quite powerful, but in reality it isn't. It is very weak politically because it is divorced from the masses of the people and is disliked by everybody and by the American people too. In appearance it is very powerful but in reality it is nothing to be afraid of, it is a paper tiger. Outwardly a tiger, it is made of paper, unable to withstand the wind and the rain. I believe the United States is nothing but a paper tiger.

When we say U.S. imperialism is a paper tiger, we are speaking in terms of strategy. Regarding it as a whole, we must despise it. But regarding each part, we must take it seriously. It has claws and fangs. We have to destroy it piecemeal. For instance, if it has ten fangs, knock off one the first time, and there will be nine left, knock off another, and there will be eight left. When all the fangs are gone, it will still have claws. If we deal with it step by step and in earnest, we will certainly succeed in the end.

Strategically, we must utterly despise U.S. imperialism. Tactically, we must take it seriously. In struggling against it, we must take each battle, each encounter, seriously. At present, the United States is powerful, but when looked at in a broader perspective, as a whole and from a long-term viewpoint, it has no popular support, its policies are disliked by the people, because it oppresses and exploits them. For this reason, the tiger is doomed. Therefore, it is nothing to be afraid of and can be despised. But today the United States still has strength, turning out more than 100 million tons of steel a year and hitting out everywhere. That is why we must continue to wage struggles against it, fight it with all our might and wrest one position after another from it. And that takes time.


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Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

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https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
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https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
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https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
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[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 51 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

This article is written from the perspective that the US is not actively planning to start a war with China in 2027.

When you put that in the equation you can't possibly make statements like "balance its relationships with both Russia and the West". China is not doing that, they are not so naive.

[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 24 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago) (1 children)

There is not going to be a conventional war with China. The US military plus all its allies simply do not have the military capacity to do so. The military escalations from the US should be seen as part of its strategy to reshape the global geopolitical landscape to the image that it wants.

The article literally quoted a lib (and there are many others I assure you) who think Russia will lose in Ukraine lol. These are the kind of people we’re dealing with.

[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 36 points 4 weeks ago (2 children)
[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 26 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago) (3 children)

Yes, but it’s not going to happen. You have to learn to read the intentions of the US imperialist strategy here.

Just like how a lot of people mistook Biden’s tariffs on Chinese EVs and solar panels as indication of US wanting to protect its own industries and compete with China on green technology, when the actual intention was to scare the Chinese libs into opening up their capital markets. This is already happening, and the Chinese libs fell for it hook, line and sinker. The US empire is never going to re-industrialize, it’s dominance and exploitation on the Global South until the end.

Similarly, there is no way that the US can defeat China or Russia in a conventional war. This is why they are sending in outdated equipments to Ukraine for them to be blown up. None of that was a serious attempt at fighting Russia, but it was good for the US economy because of how GDP is calculated (which affects the strength of its currency) and how capital can flow into the defense industry every time a piece of military equipment is blown up.

The battle line between US and China is going to be fought on the financial front, and if the US cannot win this fight, escalates into a hot war. That can only mean a nuclear war. This is the only shot the US can temporarily get out of its predicament before crumbling under the weights of its own contradictions.

[–] Hexboare@hexbear.net 23 points 4 weeks ago

Just like how a lot of people mistook Biden’s tariffs on Chinese EVs and solar panels as indication of US wanting to protect its own industries and compete with China on green technology, when the actual intention was to scare the Chinese libs into opening up their capital markets. This is already happening, and the Chinese libs fell for it hook, line and sinker.

Wasn't the further opening up the capital markets directive published in early April with Biden's tariffs coming in May?

(Not that this impacts your argument, if I remember the sequence correctly - continuing on opening up after the slap in the face from the US still adds weight to your point)

[–] Tomorrow_Farewell@hexbear.net 21 points 4 weeks ago

Actually, one more thing.

Just like how a lot of people mistook Biden’s tariffs on Chinese EVs and solar panels as indication of US wanting to protect its own industries and compete with China on green technology

What is your basis for the claim that that was untrue, especially considering that NATO's engineers did seem to conclude that the PRC would have significantly hurt their manufacturers if not stopped in this manner? On what basis do you conclude that the tariffs do not help NATO's domestic manufacturers?

[–] GlueBear@hexbear.net 13 points 4 weeks ago

The battle line between US and China is going to be fought on the financial front, and if the US cannot win this fight, escalates into a hot war.

Do I have news for you

[–] Dirt_Owl@hexbear.net 25 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago)

Holy shit America. You've done nothing but lose wars against tiny countries for the last few decades and you still think you can take on a Superpower? During an economic crash? While army recruitment is at an all time low?! While you're funding multiple proxy wars?!?!

How can one country be so dumb?!