this post was submitted on 06 Sep 2024
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politics

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Looks like it's over for Donnie. Woah.

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[–] Buttermilk@lemmy.ml 19 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

He predicts Harris will win citing 8 keys he uses:

 No primary contest and the party is largely behind her

 No sizable third party spoil

 In the short term and long term economies are good

 Biden made large policy changes like Paris accords, chips act, inflation reduction act

 No sustained social unrest

 No meaningful white house scandals

 Challenger charisma is limited to a narrow base

The points against her are:

 Midterm gains by challengers

 Harris isn't the incumbent

With Foreign policy failures and Foreign policy success left unchecked because she passed the majority of the keys.

With those last two he says "The Biden administration is deeply invested in the war in Gaza. Which is a humanitarian disaster, with no end in sight"

[–] AOCapitulator@hexbear.net 21 points 2 months ago (2 children)

In the short term and long term economies are good

lol

Biden made large policy changes like Paris accords, chips act, inflation reduction act

lol

No meaningful white house scandals

Genocides aren't scandalous to american moderates, so sadly this one is valid

[–] miz@hexbear.net 9 points 2 months ago

In the short term and long term economies are good

I think this is false on its face, but let's see how these assumptions hold up if the strait of hormuz closes due to regional conflagration

[–] Commiejones@hexbear.net 5 points 2 months ago

Yeah he's just talking out his ass.

[–] YourMom@hexbear.net 5 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Honestly I think the lack of a primary is negative. But those keys aren't that bad tbh. He's just wrong on multiple points.