this post was submitted on 27 May 2024
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Image is of a flag ceremony to commemorate the launch of Operation Barkhane, which has since officially been terminated after its failure.

Chad, a country in north-central Africa, borders a lot of active geopolitical areas - Niger to the West, Libya to the North, Sudan to the East - but is scarcely discussed itself. I'm not really knowledgable enough to give anything like a decent history, but the recent gist is that the country was ruled for three decades by Idriss Déby until he was killed in battle in 2021 while fighting northern rebels. Idriss was part of a few wars - such as the one against Gaddafi in Libya, and also the Second Congo War. While he was initially elected democratically in 1996 and 2001, he then eliminated term limits and just kept on going.

After his death, Chad has been ruled by his son, Mahamat Idriss Déby. In early May 2024, elections began which were meant to result in the transition from a military-ruled goverment to a civilian-ruled one. Needless to say, Mahamat won the election - with 61% of the vote. Both father and son have been on the side of the French and the US, whereas the opposition is against foreign colonizers and has attempted to put pressure on the government in numerous ways to achieve a more substantial independence. France maintains a troop presence in Chad, and it's something of a stronghold for them - when French troops were forced out of Niger, they retreated to Chad. However, it's not clear even to the people inside Chad what precisely the French are doing there. I mean, we know what their presence is really for - imperialism and election rigging - but in an official sense, they don't seem to be doing much to help the country materially. What is clear is that they like to intervene on behalf of the ruling regime and against rebels a whole lot - the most interventions by France in any African country, in fact.

The United States, so keen on human rights and democracy in so many places around the world like Russia, Iran, and China, have - for some strange reason! - decided for the last 30 years that they can live with a couple dictators and wars in the case of Chad. In fact, various American state propaganda firms like the ISW and Washington Post have warned the current government about the Wagner Group interfering with the country and spreading anti-Western sentiments as in the rest of the Sahel.

Things are very tough for Chad. They are among the poorest countries in Africa and host about one million people fleeing from nearby conflicts, which is a pretty large number when Chad has a population of about 17 million.

With the French Empire fading, they are beginning to run out of places to retreat to in Africa. Macron, in January, said that his defense council had decided to reduce troop presence in Gabon, Senegal, and the Côte d'Ivoire, though has maintained troop levels in Chad and Djibouti. Meanwhile, on the other side of the planet from France, anti-empire sentiments are boiling to the surface in New Caledonia/Kanaky, which is unfortunate for the French military as they really need that island, both for the massive nickel reserves, but also as an unsinkable aircraft carrier in the Pacific just in case a conflict with China pops off.


The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you've wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.

The Country of the Week is Chad! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Xx_Aru_xX@hexbear.net 44 points 6 months ago (2 children)

Here's a video of an Al-Quds brigrades (Palestinian Islamic Jihad) and an Omar Qassim forces (Democratic Front for the Liberation of Palestine) members making bombs together

https://streamable.com/gcff0o

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[–] CthulhusIntern@hexbear.net 44 points 7 months ago (4 children)

I'm taking the first CompTIA A+ test on Friday, I think I'm ready.

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[–] thelastaxolotl@hexbear.net 44 points 7 months ago
  • On June 2, in addition to president, Mexico will choose all 500 deputies in the lower house of Congress and all 128 seats in the Senate.
  • The main presidential candidates are left-wing Claudia Sheinbaum and right-wing Xóchitl Gálvez, with center-left Jorge Máynez representing a third, dark-horse option.
  • Both Sheinbaum and Gálvez want to invest more in renewable energy, but disagree about some controversial infrastructure projects.

MEXICO CITY — Mexico will hold elections on June 2 that are likely to shape the country for years to come. In addition to president, all 500 deputies in the lower house of Congress and all 128 seats in the Senate are on the ballot. The winners will have to reckon with a host of pressing environmental concerns that range from renewable energy and mining to access to clean water and infrastructure.

full article

post link

[–] plinky@hexbear.net 43 points 7 months ago (3 children)

Big brain 🤔: if safe threshold (no massive grid redesigns needed) for solar is 20-30 percent of total energy consumption, and they go bad in 25 years, any country not installing 1 percent in a year is playing. (That includes china )

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[–] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 43 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (12 children)

Just finishedvoteING in the South African elections. So I i-voted. Process was smooth, though something pretty funny happened. I was standing behind a Harry Potter lib wearing a Hogwarts shirt in the queue lmao. I'm not making this up. A Harry Potter lib in South Africa. Was very funny when she saw an example of the ballot papers, and swore in Afrikaans when she saw the picture of the DA leader John Steenhuisen. If the DA(white liberal political party) can't even keep Harry Potter libs as supporters, it's over for them.

For some serious analysis, election results are going to be highly dependent on voter turnout. IPSOS modelled some turnout scenarios with their polls. Low turnout benefits the ANC, IFP, and MK, high turnout benefits everyone else

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[–] FloridaBoi@hexbear.net 43 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Trump guilty on all 34 charges

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[–] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 43 points 7 months ago (2 children)

Reading about the different elections here makes me realize how Guatemala is one of the few countries that doesn’t have a really strong “legacy party” that’s been around for decades. Our oldest parties that still gain significant seats in congress were all formed in the mid to late 2000’s. Seems like we go through a new cycle of them every couple of decades.

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[–] PosadistInevitablity@hexbear.net 43 points 7 months ago (5 children)

Eagerly awaiting Russia arming the West’s next victims with ICBMs and stating “they have a right to defend themselves”

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[–] HarryLime@hexbear.net 43 points 7 months ago (2 children)

BBC says that US policy of allowing Ukraine to use ATACMS to attack inside Russian territory has not changed

The UK and France had already signalled they were open to easing restrictions on Ukraine striking military sites on Russian territory, before US President Joe Biden said on Thursday night that American-supplied weapons could be used.

However a US official told the BBC: "Our policy with respect to prohibiting the use of Army Tactical Missile System [ATACMS] or long-range strikes inside of Russia has not changed.”

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[–] ThomasMuentzner@hexbear.net 43 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) (3 children)

Italian village with 46 residents has 30 local election candidates (Guardian)

spoilerThe last time Igor De Santis ran for mayor in Ingria, a tiny village surrounded by forests and mountains near Turin, he won an easy landslide victory. But he faces a tough challenge in his bid for a fourth mandate, after his mother joined a rival camp.

Ingria, one of the smallest villages in Italy, is home to 46 inhabitants. A further 26 people, registered to vote from abroad, make up the electorate.

De Santis, 42, has led the administration since 2009 and had expected competition in the mayoral race from an opposition councillor, 70-year-old Renato Poletto. The situation became more complicated when Stefano Venuti, a Milan resident who has a second home in Ingria, threw his hat into the ring. “We weren’t expecting that,” said De Santis.

And then the micro-race was fully upended by Poletto announcing that he had secured the support of De Santis’s mother, Milena Crosasso, and had put her forward for a councillor position in the ballot to elect a new council on 8-9 June, as part of a list comprising nine women and one man. In all, 30 people – about two-thirds of the village’s inhabitants – are now competing for positions.

“I did ask [my mother] to join me but after she saw that Poletto’s list was mostly women she decided to go with them,” said De Santis. “They are all volunteers who have worked really hard for the village.”

Crosasso said that the rivalry would not impact family harmony. “Both my son and I want the best for the community and this is an opportunity to give voice to women’s points of view without weakening family bonds,” she said.

Ingria is in Italy’s Soana Valley and experiences similar issues to other mountain villages, such as depopulation, scant services and challenges with snow during winter. Since 2022, when it was named as being among Italy’s “most beautiful” villages, it has also had to deal with an increase in tourism.

“There has been an incredible spike and we have to manage this,” said De Santis. “There are few residents, but a lot of second homes. Our main aim is to preserve Ingria’s beauty.”

Venuti told Corriere della Sera newspaper that he decided to run for mayor after being urged to do so by locals. “I’ve integrated very well,” he said.

Despite the competition, De Santis, whose grandfather was mayor of Ingria for 30 years, said he was “optimistic” that he could win.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 42 points 6 months ago (2 children)

Brazilian government condemns attack that injured Brazilians in Lebanon

Article

Brazil's Ministry of International Relations said on Sunday (2) that the Brazilian family that was injured in a bombing last Saturday (1) in Lebanon was the victim of an attack by Israel.

Itamaraty formally accused Israel of the attack. “The episode occurred in the context of attacks by the Israeli armed forces in southern Lebanon and by Hezbollah in northern Israel,” it said in a statement. “The Brazilian Embassy in Beirut is in contact with the relatives and the medical team and is providing consular support.”

Until now, Israel's participation in the attack was only a hypothesis. Yesterday, an Israeli aircraft without a pilot was shot down over Lebanese territory by the extremist cell Hezbollah. Videos circulating on social media show a Hermes 900 drone crashing in the south of the country.

The Brazilian Embassy in Beirut says it has been monitoring the Israel-Palestine conflict “since the beginning”. “Brazil urges the parties involved (...) to prevent the spread of the conflict in Gaza and to avoid new innocent civilian victims,” the note continues. The Brazilian government expresses its indignation and condemns yesterday's bombing (...) which resulted in injuries to three Brazilian citizens. Itamaraty, in a statement Girl almost amputated

The home of Brazilians in the town of Saddike, in the south of Lebanon, was hit by a bombardment on Saturday (1st), at around 11am in Brazil. Fatima Boustani, 30, her 12-year-old daughter and 8-year-old son were injured. The girl was watching TV when the house was hit.

“She was rescued by neighbors in a state of shock,” says Hussein Ezzddein, cousin of the children's father, Ahmad Aidibi, who is staying at his home in Greater São Paulo. “The hospital planned to cut off her leg, but the family asked them to and another doctor performed a second operation on her leg. Now she's in the ICU under observation because she's lost a lot of blood.”

Fatima “is in a very serious condition”. With bleeding in her head and lungs, her condition is so serious that the Brazilian Consulate in Lebanon tried to transfer her to a hospital in the capital, Beirut, but doctors advised against it. “She's intubated. They didn't authorize an ambulance because of her condition,” says Ezzddein. The boy suffered abrasions and is under observation in the infirmary. The eldest son, 13, and the youngest, 7, were at their grandmother's house during the attack and were not hit.

Ezzddein asks the Brazilian government to repatriate the family and send a psychologist to help his father. Aidibi “won't accept it, he just screams and cries”, says his cousin. “He hasn't slept or eaten since yesterday. He just smokes and cries.” He keeps shouting: 'How come I'm walking and my daughter isn't? He's in a deep state of depression, he's in shock. Hussein Ezzddein, Aidibi's cousin

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[–] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 42 points 6 months ago (2 children)
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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 42 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (3 children)

Interesting things happening in the India elections. They'll soon be in the seventh phase of voting and on June 4th-5th, we'll probably have a pretty good idea of who's won.

The ruling BJP's slogan is essentially that - screw just a majority, we're gonna get 400 seats or more out of the 543 seats in government for our ruling coalition (the NDA). In the last election, the BJP got 303 seats, and the NDA as a whole got like ~350, so that's quite a few seats to climb to reach that goal. But even if don't reach the goal, they still have a majority.

Right now, major pollsters are estimating between 335 and 393 seats just for the BJP. Meanwhile, there's people in the opposition who are estimating that not only will the BJP not get to 400 seats, but that they'll actually fail to get even a majority. The reason why is some polling data, which doesn't show exact voter sentiment for the parties but instead on what issues voters care about.

  • 40% of those surveyed favour the BJP but satisfaction with the government is lower than in 2019, due to your regular suite of economic issues (inflation, poverty, unemployment)
  • The whole thing where Modi goes out and consecrates a temple over the ashes of a mosque or whatever fucked up thing they do, that was only a major source of satisfaction for 33% of NDA voters and only 23% of the electorate, so not exactly great returns on that.
  • Fewer respondents agreed that the government should get a second chance (44%) than in 2004 (48%), and the BJP lost that election.
  • 2019 was an election marked especially by total opposition chaos, and even in those elections, a full 75% of the electorate did not vote for the BJP.
  • The BJP won 60% (183) of the seats in 2019 by a margin of over 15%, so that's 40% (120 seats) of the seats that could be deemed vulnerable in an Indian election (where swings of 5-10% and up to 15% are pretty typical). And it won about 79 of those vulnerable seats with a margin of up to 10%. So if the BJP loses just half of the total vulnerable seats, or at least a big proportion of the more vulnerable ones (only a 10% lead in 2019), then it loses the election.
  • In 2019, the BJP got a national vote share of 37%. This was a plurality so it wins in a FPTP system, obviously. The issue with projecting too much from this is that the BJP's bastions get them large amounts of unnecessary votes (60% or even higher, when they just need a plurality), while their vote share in less BJP-friendly zones is considerably less sturdy. But all the voters in the bastions masks that effect on a national scale.
  • There's also obviously been the farmer's protests, which have dampened enthusiasm a little, too.
  • There's also some more in-depth analysis about Karnataka in there too which I'm not knowledgable enough to talk about really.

So what's the takeaway? IDK, I'm not an Indian elections guy. If I woke up to a big BJP majority in early June then I wouldn't be surprised. And there's probably a ton of electoral shenanigans just like in every liberal "democracy", which would favour the party in charge of the government during the elections. But it's at least statistically possible beyond mere blind hope that the BJP is at least having a tougher time than I had initially thought here.

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[–] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 42 points 7 months ago (3 children)

Article by one of the frequent nakedcapitalism.com commenters on potential for nato boots on the ground. He thinks is very unlikely in any meaningful way. Not just because they'd get rinsed by Russia, but challenges in advance of any actual deployment.

https://aurelien2022.substack.com/p/natos-phantom-armies

On the one hand this is a source of optimism because it just doesn't seem practical for nato to do more than what they're doing now. On the other hand, the futility of conventional armed conflict with Russia incentivizes nuclear escalation on the part of the west.

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[–] Xx_Aru_xX@hexbear.net 41 points 7 months ago

I know someone from Chad irl, chill guy

[–] RyanGosling@hexbear.net 41 points 7 months ago (1 children)

We'll send a chopper from across the Canadian border. You should be back in the DPRK in time for lunch. You'll probably just miss our "guests." The only catch is, you go in solo. The politically sensitive nature of the mission means backup is not an option.

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[–] Alaskaball@hexbear.net 41 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) (6 children)

New video from professional madlad and independent frontlines reporter Patrick Lancaster doing a video from almost at the frontlines in LPR

Video description below

I found it neat that a way they're countering kamikaze drones hitting you while driving is by putting up a shitton of wooden Poles with nets on them all up and down the road. Very funny and primitive but if it works it works.

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[–] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 41 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

US SOUTHCOM general talking about the kenyan proxy mission into haiti

https://x.com/KawsachunNews/status/1792595782610120830

what a ghoul. her little smirk as she thinks about the torrent of cash she'll be administering through this puppet government. just bloodless.

link courtesy of this much larger article - https://www.blackagendareport.com/haiti-anatomy-invasion

[–] DivineChaos100@hexbear.net 40 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (3 children)

Take a guess how many times Gaza was mentioned in the hungarian EP election debate (11 parties were there).

spoilerZero. It was zero.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 40 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

18 Mexican police officers injured by firebombs thrown in riot at Israeli embassy

The anti-Israel activists claimed that the police used tear gas, operated fire extinguishers and threw stones at the protesters, who they said included children, seniors, and disabled people.

Article

Eighteen Mexico City Police officers were wounded by Molotov cocktails and objects thrown by anti-Israel activists in a riot outside the Israeli embassy on Tuesday, law enforcement said, in protests organized in response to ongoing IDF military operations in the Hamas stronghold of Rafah.

Sixteen officers were reportedly taken to the hospital for burns and other injuries, and two more were treated on the scene. Multiple fires were set in the area of the embassy, and five bus stations, several businesses, a police vehicle, and park benches were damaged.

The Israeli Foreign Ministry said that "there were no casualties but minor damage was caused in the vicinity of the embassy." Mexican Police said that protesters, some of them masked, clashed with the police who established a cordon.

Accusing police of brutality

BDS Mexico, which called for the protest on Monday as a response to the death of Gazans in Rafah in disputed circumstances, accused the police of brutality.

The anti-Israel activists claimed that the police used tear gas, operated fire extinguishers and threw stones at the protesters, who they said included children, seniors, and disabled people.

"We reiterate our solidarity with the Palestinian people and all the people who demonstrated in support of their cause," Comité de Solidaridad con Palestina GDL said on Instagram on Wednesday. "We will not stop speaking out against injustice and oppression, both here and anywhere in the world."

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[–] FungiDebord@hexbear.net 40 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)
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