this post was submitted on 26 Jun 2023
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Sources of British special services have reported that the Russian secret services threatened to hurt the families of chiefs of the Wagner Private Military Company (PMC) before Yevgeny Prigozhin, the owner and leader of the Wagner PMC, stopped his “offensive on Moscow”.

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[–] plz1@lemmy.world 8 points 1 year ago (2 children)

That makes more sense, if this is true. I would think Wagner would take steps to prevent that ahead of an Invasion of the homeland, thigh.

[–] teflocarbon@lemmy.world 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I’d be shocked if this was true. I would think that would be the first FSB tactic that they would’ve performed. It’s a classic one in movies as well. It’ll be absolutely insane if this is what stopped the coup.

[–] BobKerman3999@feddit.it 2 points 1 year ago (2 children)

I mean the dude announced that he was goiyto do a coup before he even started. That doesn't sound really bright to me

[–] teflocarbon@lemmy.world 2 points 1 year ago

The whole lot doesn't seem bright at all. Then they basically drove through to Moscow like they were having a leisurely stroll and lost one truck. Russia looks so pathetic right now.

[–] drmoose@lemmy.world 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)

he just wanted to retire apparently as his war machine was not making him money in Ukraine and I guess that's one way to do it.

[–] skillissuer@lemmy.world 2 points 1 year ago

that sounds rather counterproductive. can't retire if you are dead

[–] EchoCranium@lemmy.zip 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

It seemed like a sudden change in marching orders, so the chiefs probably didn't have enough notice to have families moved to someplace safer. Now that Prigozhin has backed off, for whatever deal was made, he probably doesn't have long before he dies of poison or falling out a window (if it hasn't happened already).

[–] plz1@lemmy.world 1 points 1 year ago

There was a report floating around that this was in the wheels for longer, so the attack on Wagner was possibly a preemptive strike. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/russia-coup-wagner-putin-intelligence-b2363901.html#

[–] GlitchSir@lemmy.world 6 points 1 year ago (2 children)

That makes no sense. So they got leverage on Wagner but then made a deal where Prigozhin lives and makes them look weak.

Put it together guys. Prigozhin got what he wanted in a deal we’re not seeing. But agreed to make it look like he was backing off.

[–] Drunemeton@lemmy.world 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Not a lot of this event is making sense. Yet…

I’d hazard a guess that it was a joint mission between Putin and Prigozhin to flush out potential traitors. I mean, what’s a better time to monitor communication channels when you have ‘an invading army storming the capital’ to find out who’s with/against you?

Then you send the ‘invading army’ to a Putin-controlled border country, and offer any of his soldiers that didn’t invade with him a place in your military….

I mean they sent a women’s basketball player to prison for some cannabis oil, but a guy who tried to overthrow the government gets a vacation next door? His soldier’s get the same vacation? The soldier’s that didn’t join them (why? where were they?) get jobs with the government?

Doesn’t make sense unless the ‘event’ was nothing like it appeared. A ‘Red Herring’ if you will.

The actions taken after the 1-day event speak louder to the point of what actually happened then what they’re saying in the media.

[–] Granite@kbin.social 1 points 1 year ago

While I like this take, we really don’t know if it was sincere or not. Maybe Prigozhin made a deal with the FSB, or maybe he’s already dead by now. He hasn’t been seen since he left for Belarus.

[–] BackOnMyBS@lemmy.world 1 points 1 year ago

Totally. This is some Game of Thrones level bs. We're the serfs of the town, and we just saw their interpersonal drama play out in public on the fields outside of King's Landing. They're going to negotiate behind the walls of the Red Keep, get their stories straight, then tell us what we need to hear to keep everything in order.

[–] xuxebiko@kbin.social 1 points 1 year ago
[–] demvoter@kbin.social 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Here is an interesting thread on what happened. Not sure I agree with this but something to consider.

https://journa.host/@fulelo/110608961057684163

[–] ChemicalRascal@kbin.social 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Point three seems entirely noncredible to me. They were doing a thunder-run, by all appearances. That doesn't just happen. You don't accidentally cross the Rubicon, you don't just happen to go "whoopsie, we're in the Moscow Oblast, aren't we goofy goobers!".

And then the assertion: "However, I want to emphasize that image has always been a secondary concern for Putin." Isn't that just... objectively false? Image has always been huge for Putin. He presents himself as a strongman, a man able to lie to your face, but is so powerful that you, the Russian citizen, can do nothing about it.

I think Beau of the Fifth Column's hot take is more likely -- Wagner wanted out of the war for a host of reasons, they especially didn't want to be taken control of by the MoD and essentially dissolved into the state apparatus. So Prigozhin decided to gun for Moscow in order to be able to force Putin's hand and let Wagner return to Africa, doing the PMC stuff that Wagner has been running around doing for years. This has probably been something he's been trying to negotiate for a year or so, but it all just came to a head with Bahkmut and the new contracts MoD was trying to push.

[–] demvoter@kbin.social 1 points 1 year ago

Yeah, the image thing I thought was a weird take too. He puts out photos of him riding bare chested on a horse, ffs. Of course he cares about his “strongman” image. He hasn’t been seen since this happened. Something is still off about this whole thing.