The Associated Press called the race with just 18 percent of the votes counted.
WTF?
The Associated Press called the race with just 18 percent of the votes counted.
WTF?
Not unusual, and not a bad thing. They called a number of races with less than that. If you're taking your expected percentages with the voting samples you've got and your statistics and calculations say there's less than a 1% chance the race will flip, you might as well call it. They're pretty much never wrong when they make a call that early.
It also doesn't actually matter because the AP isn't who decides the winner.
I do have a problem with it slightly though, calling a result before pokls close elsewhere is problematic. All reporting should be embargoed until the last poll closes.
Not a bad idea, though I'd tweak it to say election officials can't release information, since that preserves freedom of press.
Either way, it's highly unlikely it's ever affected the outcome of an election.