politics

Not really surprising and honestly a little disheartening because traditionally Republicans usually vote on election day. Looks like another indicator that somehow, given all the information available on both candidates it's going to be a close race. I'm sure Harris will win the popular vote but it'll again come down to the swing states and the electoral College.

Won’t be satisfied until she wins 2-1

There is no guarantee of a Harris win, and it may come down to a few thousand votes. People need to get out and vote!! GOP might pull another GW Bush v Gore on us, which would be even worse, so there can’t be anything other than ensuring voter turnout is high. Dems always win with higher voter turnouts, at least that’s what we’ve seen historically.

Don't listen and vote. Talk to friends and family an urge them to vote.

Most crosstabs in polling that specifically ask, "what single issue is so important to you that it will drive your vote?" or something similar, show that the single biggest issue (plurality, not majority) is abortion.

I think women are going to show up. I don't think this gamble with young men is going to match polling. Women as a group outnumber men, out-register men, and always show up to the polls in greater numbers.

Last I checked Harris has a larger lead with women than does Trump with men, with a smaller population size to boot.

The Dems don’t just need to win the popular vote, and they don’t just need to win enough states to dominate the electoral college—they need to win by enough of a margin that victory cannot be snatched away from them by any kind of dirty tricks. No battleground state officials Chewbacca-defencing refusing to accept the vote and getting bailed out 6-3 by the Supreme Court, no Brooks Brothers Riot 2.0, no flood of bogus lawsuits delaying certification until the deadline passes and it falls on the House of Representatives to choose the President, and no other shenanigans they might come up with. Because this time, the apparatus is in place to steal the election if it’s at all close.

It would be a surprise if some states that were Republican in these elections became Democratic.

I've been saying this for a while, but I believe it will be a large margin win for Harris and the democrats. I don't believe a large portion of Republicans will actually go to the polls this year. They won't bring themselves to go show up to the polls. The dems can push this hard and I believe more seats than the dnc are expecting will end up flipping to them.

Always good to start your day with some good news.

2 - 1, wow

Doesn't matter. Get out and vote, america! And for all you other people, call america out for the bullshit that is it's politics.

So a lot more people would vote Trump if the only thing that changed in their policy was the stance on abortion? That's disappointing, considering the policies and the plan of Project 2025.

That tracks. Trump has effectively vilified mail-in and early voting to reduce Republican participation.

If he's losing, his strategy is to undermine mail-in votes, attempt to characterize them as fraudulent, and get as many of them thrown out as possible. Even if he can't get them tossed, he will claim that Democrats are using illegal immigrants and other ineligible voters to steal the election, stirring up his base for more extreme actions. He will point to the "impossible" Democratic bias in those votes as evidence of fraud. If those votes weren't overwhelmingly Democratic, this strategy wouldn't be as effective.

Along with other tactics, such as challenging certification and having armed militias patrol polling places, this is part of his campaign's multi-pronged approach to undermine the election if he's losing, and they haven't exactly been hiding their plans.

Just like what happened in 2016.