this post was submitted on 10 May 2024
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Recommendations are difficult, because reliability varies from model to model (even within the same brand) and there is no useful data until a model is more than a few years old. What we can do is follow the data available from an independent source with large sample sizes:
https://www.backblaze.com/blog/category/cloud-storage/hard-drive-stats/
My personal experience over the most recent 15 years: