The 45+ crowd will vote for him because they support isn'treal and are afraid of Drumpf but I think we're going to see a massive drop out of young voters. Probably too with the people who already don't vote to begin with, namely service workers who are fucked over either way with D's and R's.

And here I thought Biden was going to win in November, time to eat crow.

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[–] edge@hexbear.net 1 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) (1 children)

It’s possible if RFK saps enough votes in non-swing states without actually changing the result of those states. Even more if red states have extra turnout for Trump and blue states have less turnout for Biden.

As an extreme example, if RFK won over every Biden voter in Texas, that’s 5 million less votes for Biden without changing the result.

[–] Adkml@hexbear.net 1 points 6 months ago

Sure. if that happened it would have happened.

But RFK getting more than 10% in any state is about as likely as 90% of Wyoming becoming blue Maga.