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this post was submitted on 15 Jul 2023
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Both articles point out that it is not possible to calculate because Tesla is withholding some of the necessary data (and has asked the NHSTA to redact the rest).
The WaPo gets closest to naming all the data you would need (miles driven in FSD; type of road being driven on) but you'd also need to match it to the Tesla owner demographic (wealthy, white, middle-aged men), and cars with an NHSTA 5 rating for structural safety.
I have no doubt that most of the autopilot miles driven are in Teslas, thanks to Musk's reckess promotion of it as FSD.
To know whether the technology fails more or less often than other autopilot systems, you would need data that Tesla are withholding, and much more detailed data on other cars than you can google up on the NHSTA website.
Which is why I asked if you were sure.
Because I don't think you can possibly be sure. But you say you are, so say why you're sure.
Ah, I misunderstood what you were asking; No I am not sure. I made my assessment based on what is available. If I'm proven wrong when Tesla either releases the data or more likely is forced to release the data by NHTSA, then I will stand corrected.