this post was submitted on 01 Mar 2024
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Polls basically don't mean shit. The suggestion that Trump is winning is completely nonsensical.
I don't think you're wrong to think one poll in isolation is not very valuable. But they are the only predictive measure we have, and they have consistently placed Trump ahead in critical swing states.
Now maybe they are all completely wrong. But I think keeping Trump out of power is too important to just ignore all the information we have right now.
I'll happily come back here and donate $100 to a charity of your choosing if it turns out you're right and the polls were way off, and Biden wins every swing state in a landslide. I would love to be wrong.