this post was submitted on 11 Feb 2024
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Not particularly, but I can at least recognize that electing a third party practically requires getting rid of the electoral college.
If no one gets a majority of EC votes, the winner is picked by the house of representatives. So any third party president needs to get a majority of the vote in a majority of states to win. No third party candidate has ever come remotely close to that.
Under STAR, score, condorcet or IRV? It's unlikely but possible. With the EC? It's essentially impossible.