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You can't reason someone out of a position they didn't reason themselves into.
Conservative positions are always the same, "I want X to be true, therefore.." vs the natural, "Okay so starting from a blank slate.. let's be curious.."
I truly don't understand the end-game for transgender folks. People are going to continue to be born with both sex organs. People are going to continue to transition between genders naturally (due to how gender works at a biological level). The line between male and female has and always will be blurry, and in many cases, nonexistant.
The natural outcome of this will be a default genderless society where people express the gender they want to be, which seems harmless to me, but from a conservative PoV people being happy in a way they don't understand is the end of the world? It's so unusual because their entire world view is, "Just let me do what I want" while simultaneously, "No, YOU can't live how you want, JUST ME." Its inherently conflicting. But once again, to see that one would have to have a world view based in reason. And as any reason-driven person has realized, conservative positions dissolve under scrutiny of reason (why Jon Stewart is so popular, his entire sctick was comedically applying reason to conservative behavior).
Revisiting the original statement. All the evidence in the world won't change a conservative's mind, because they prefer not to use their mind. Anger anger anger. Fear fear fear. Conformity conformity conformity. Those seem to be the only thoughts they are willing to let cross their mind.
A conservative, "It's not normal!" The idea that "normal" is a social construct is not a thought they will allow to be processed. (Note they cannot use "natural" here because it is quite natural in many species to change gender.) Humans just happen to also share that trait, an idea they cannot seem to grasp.
I ramble, should have edited this a bit, but despite the poor writing I got a few ideas I wanted to get across. Apologies for the disjointed nature of this reply.