Загальні бойові втрати противника з 24.02.22 по 24.01.24 орієнтовно склали / The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 24.01.24 were approximately:
особового складу / personnel ‒ близько/ about 378660 (+840) осіб / persons, танків / tanks ‒ 6227 (+13) од, бойових броньованих машин / APV ‒ 11579 (+31) од, артилерійських систем / artillery systems – 9008 (+61) од, РСЗВ / MLRS – 971 (+1) од, засоби ППО / Anti-aircraft warfare systems ‒ 659 (+2) од, літаків / aircraft – 331 (+0) од, гелікоптерів / helicopters – 324 (+0) од, БПЛА оперативно-тактичного рівня / UAV operational-tactical level – 6998 (+37), крилаті ракети / cruise missiles ‒ 1842 (+22), кораблі /катери / warships / boats ‒ 23 (+0) од, підводні човни / submarines - 1 (+0) од, автомобільної техніки та автоцистерн/ vehicles and fuel tanks – 12005 (+49) од, спеціальна техніка / special equipment ‒ 1416 (+7)
Дані уточнюються / Data are being updated.
source: https://t.me/s/GeneralStaffZSU
Russia has access to massive amounts of old Soviet artillery storage. Before the war it was 12345 towed and 5093 self propelled, but that includes once which can not be fixed. Unfortunatly satellite imagry is unable to show that. However half a year ago they were already down to 7500 towed and 4408 self propelled. Given that that was half a year ago, it propably is worse today and a lot of what is left is propably to bad to be fixed.
The more I look at it, the more Russia is struggling to keep the war going. If the US would continue its support I would be pretty sure Ukraine is going to win.
And if the west in general would stop fearing for the ghost of soviet union or something and give them what they need in quantities that they need. I of course understand that it's a massively complex problem logistically, financially and even more so politically, but holding back long range missiles and things like that is just bullshit.
And besides US support, EU (and Europe in general) has to get their shit together with manufacturing and in general being ready once Russia eventually digs itself out of the hole it's been digging itself in. Currently things seem to move in that direction in general, but who knows what'll happen in a year or 5.
Absolutely. This is so annoying when our (European) politicians say they won't compromise our own defense capabilities.
A lot of those capabilities are to protect against Russia, so we could easily give Ukraine more, because Russia is already weakened by the war, giving Ukraine more and better weapons would weaken Russia even more.
As a Finn I have to disagree with this. I'm glad that our military has prepared and keep doing so and not just throw anything out of the door towards Ukraine as it's still a possibility we'll need those toys. Estonia and Poland seem to have the same strategy more or less. But anything directly west from Ukraine (Germany and France mainly) could just empty their warehouses and it'd give the best value out of their hardware they'll ever get. Stop the threat from the east and not spend a drop of domestic blood while doing it.
The military capabilities of specially EU countries is a poor joke right now. Not even the whole union can produce enough ammunition for a single (long and shattered) battlefield. If the Soviet Union in its former glory was still a thing they'd wipe the whole Europe and there's nothing we could do about it without USA and even with them it would be difficult due to logistics. Of course in that case I suppose Europe would be better prepared as well, but right now it doesn't look good. Hopefully this improves in the very near future.
Yes Finland is among the more exposed countries, yet Finland doesn't do as much as many other countries, like Norway, Denmark, Poland, Sweden. I understand Finland being a bit edgy, but at least you have NATO support now. Making a Russian attack very unlikely.
Europe has relied a lot on USA, but for instance Sweden, UK, Poland and Greece are absolutely no joke. Although Europe may be ill prepared for real conflict, Russia would not be able to roll over Europe.
PS:
AFAIK Finland can almost defend themselves with a single man hiding in the mountains. 😋
There are no warehouse full with weapons in Western Europe. Most of them have been sold. So you would have to take weapons from soldiers, which obviously weakens the military. That is especially true since they have to train.
Then soldiers are needed for tasks, which have nothing to do with Russia. For example the issues in the Red Sea right now. But there are also troops fighting terrorism in a lot of different countries, UN missions all across the globe and so forth. Those are also needed for national security.
Then you have Western troops depolyed near the Russian border. You have Baltic Air Policing and NATO Enhanced Forward Presence, which both are meant to protect the Baltic countries for example. There are quite a few examples like that.
Also it is obviously a problem, when you do not have soldiers deployed at home as well. Russia has things like landing ships and planes.
Nearly all of Russia's weapons have been made in the Soviet Union. It is able to repair them, but for many unable to develop new once and produce them in quantity. As soon as the stockpiles have been destroyed it is going to be nearly impossible to rebuilt them.
Even worse Russia's population is falling. The number of births last June was at a record low. Many regions reported double digit drops compared to a year earlier. As far as I can tell, they stopped publishing data after that. That is what happens, when you have a lot of young men emigrate your country and even more importantly your economy is a dumpster fire. Thanks to a lack of Western medicine this seems to get even worse. In Russia life expectancy for a 15 year old boy is worse then in Haiti. In 2021 Russia's population shrunk by a million people due to Covid. It seems like this is not going to be the only time that happened. Russia is shrinking. If it does not get Ukraine's population to fuel the next war, it will have a huge problem. That is especially true, due to it no longer receiving migrants.
We see massive infrastructure failures all over Russia. Rolling blackouts become common and district heating systems fail. Russia currently has no money to fix this, which means it is going to get even worse. Industrial production besides war related products has dropped of a cliff. The only thing keeping the Russian economy alive is the military industry. For the rest we see sky high interest rates and high inflation. This means stagflation has already started. Gas revenues are down a lot and oil revenues are dropping. At the same time the war chest is half empty. As soon as that goes down Russia is going to cut back even more on infrastructure.
So I honestly doubt Russia comes out of this hole. The only things going for Russia are nukes and oil. The rest just points to a long term structural decline. Natural population decline, awful economy and complete lack of technical innovation as all the talent moves abroad. Even a stalemate is a loss for Russia in this war.
@MrMakabar @IsoKiero
In parallel, almost the same in Ukraine. Due to war and the stupidity of Zelenskyy's team, western do not rush to invest in Ukraine.Incoming Trumps' administration speaks by slogans and cannot manage situation even in the USA (remember COVID-19?).
Incoming to power fascist's party in France will not add optimism for force coming events. The point where there was no turning back is still reaching now. The real catastrophe of humanity will be averted by the decay of Russia.