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He overestimated how many old school Republicans there were. Nope, most of the party wanted Trumpism all along.
Additionally he underestimates how much the very few “old school Republicans” that do remain actually pay attention to politics or even current events at all. I’d suspect most of those voters are the type of folks that just show up and pull the R lever without ever thinking about it
Yep. It turns out the True Conservatives (TM) and the freewheeling "independents" are things that barely even exist, no matter how much the likes of David Brooks wants to magic them into being a majority in this country by feverish writing another column.