this post was submitted on 08 Oct 2023
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the_dunk_tank
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What is Hamas’ theory for success? Because inflicting violence until your oppressor realises that the cycle of violence needs to stop with them, and that they should stop oppressing you, is not a strategy that is likely to work in Israel. Because the Israeli state will always be more powerful than Hamas (in contrast to say, South Africa, where the white South Africans feared they would eventually be overwhelmed militarily by their opposition)
Not saying the violence is unjustified, I just don’t understand how it succeeds here
Hamas’ theory of success is that if you kill your oppressors they can’t oppress you any more.
What else should they do? Sit around and beg for mercy from genocidal zealots?
Sure, of course they should fight back, I was just wondering what success for Hamas looks like.
my working theory is that the Hamas plan was essentially something like:
It's honestly not the worst plan in the world considering what they've been dealing with for the last couple decades. The bunker complexes are already built, and it doesn't seem like negotiations are making conditions any better, might as well try
It looks like not continuing to be genocided while the entire world nods in silent agreement.
It's not likely to be successful but the alternative is continuing to be slowly genocided.
I imagine success looks like the destruction of the state. But that’s very difficult. The world is caught off guard because of the toll and efficiency of the attack, but Israel is still very advanced and has the US as the main benefactor. We’ve seen scrappy guerrillas take down advanced countries before, but it’s likely to happen in this case. But I’m hoping for a miracle
The strategy so far seems to be to take prisoners and use them as leverage, while shattering the myth of Israeli military invincibility and jeopardizing the top-down campaign of Israeli normalization across the Arab world