this post was submitted on 24 Aug 2023
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Did I not see a video with rocket trails? Also it was missing a wing and on fire. Something blew it up
I mean, the FSB could have easily had an asset inside the refueling operation at the Moscow airport. Place a small time-delayed explosive charge in the fuel intake of the left wing just before take-off, and you'd end up with pretty much exactly the crash profile we've seen.
It's cheaper and more reliable than a missile, leaves less physical evidence behind, and maintains a higher level of plausible deniability. Especially if your fallback plan is to blame it on the Ukrainians if the plot gets discovered.
Source: I watched all 7 seasons of Homeland.
There was a video circulating right after Prigozhin's plane went down that turned out to be an old video of a different plane being shot down some time previously, perhaps you saw that.
I think a bomb is more likely for a couple of reasons. Firstly the breakup occurred around the tail section .. that doesn't square with a guided missile which normally targets the nose or engines. Second a bomb is much easier to conceal than a missile. I think the smoke in the video was from the explosion itself.
The engines are at the back of this aircraft. Also in Russia, Russian air defence sites do not need to be concealed from Russian business jets. That said, I find either cause equally plausible.
All good points. Also, it's hella cheaper, plus also avoids the risk of someone with a cellphone capturing your SAM launch on video.