Technology
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So about 66 years then? I personally think we're very far from creating anything on par with human intelligence, but that isn't necessary for a lot of terrible things to come from AI tech. Honestly I would be more comfortable with a human-level or greater AI than something lesser still capable of agency.
If an AI is making decisions with consequences I'd prefer that it could be reasoned with as a peer, or at the least be smart enough to consider its' own long-term sustainability, which must in some way be linked with that of humanity's.
The Wright Brothers didn't figure out the moon landing. They figured out aerodynamics. There were plenty of other discoveries that went into the moon landing such as suborbital flight, supersonic flight, and orbital dynamics to list a few. It's less about the specific time as it is about the level of technology. The timescale is much harder to put down due to the nature of technological innovation.
As for the rest, I completely agree. One of the most dangerous things about these AI programs is the lack of responsibility or culpability.
I didn't mean to imply that the Wright Brothers were single-handedly responsible for the space-age tech boom lol, just that the royal "we" were about 66 years out from the moon landing at the time the Wright Brothers had their first successful flight.
Yeah, I figured you didn't mean that and wasn't trying to imply that you did, lol. I was just trying to specify that when I was talking about the Wright Brothers I meant the technological jumps between their first flight and the moon landing. We're probably several technological leaps away from anything that could be considered actual AI.