this post was submitted on 03 Nov 2024
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electoralism
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The Needle
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At Bluesky the mood was positive and optimistic as recently as this morning. That's gone. They're (very) worried.
I thought the presidential results would be contested for days or weeks and maybe the SCOTUS GOP judges would override the vote and give him the presidency. But Trump might just win it outright in ~6 hours or whatever. Sooner?
I wonder how they calibrate the needle, I'm not seeing much to make it clear it's leaning in one direction or another right now.
Part of it is that she now has to sweep MI, PA, and WI. And come back in VA. Some of her previous paths to victory are closed off by losing GA and NC