this post was submitted on 28 Oct 2024
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Image is from this SCMP article.

Much of the analysis below is sourced from Michael Roberts' great website.


Japan's ruling parliamentary coalition, consisting of the LDP (purple) and it's junior coalition partner Komeito (in light pink) have lost their ruling majority. They have ruled post-war Japan for almost its entire history. The LDP is currently led by Shigeru Ishiba after Kishida stood down due to a corruption scandal, and ties to the Unification Church.

While geopolitical factors (over the cold war between the US and China, etc) may have played a role, by far the biggest reason for this result in the poor economic conditions over the past few years. Inflation has risen and real wages have fallen, with little relief for the working class via things like tax reductions. While inequality in Japan is not as extreme as in America, it is still profound, with the top 10% possessing 60% of the wealth, while the bottom 50% possess just 5%.

Shinzo Abe previously tried to boost economic performance through monetary easing and fiscal deficits, while Kishida ran on a "new capitalism" which rejected Abe's neoliberalism and promised to reduce inequality. Nothing substantial has resulted from all this, however, other than increasing corporate wealth. Innovation continues to fall, and domestic profitability is low, resulting in decreasing investment at home by Japanese corporations. Labour productivity growth has only slightly picked up since the mid-2000s and is falling again. The rate of profit has fallen by half since the 1960s, and Japan has been in a manufacturing recession - or very close to it - since late 2022. In essence: there is no choice but between stagnation or decline.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

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Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 74 points 1 month ago (7 children)

High speed rail in Canada between Toronto and Montreal estimated to cost $100b plus, or about $150m per kilometre, or about 10x the cost of similar projects in China

https://www.lapresse.ca/affaires/2024-10-30/tgv-quebec-toronto/la-facture-sera-plus-salee-que-prevu.php

This will never happen

[–] plinky@hexbear.net 44 points 1 month ago (1 children)

so like, 1500 people working for a year on 1 kilometer. Nice productivity increase since the 1800

[–] 2Password2Remember@hexbear.net 18 points 1 month ago (1 children)

i've just had a horrifying thought. as we all know capitalism is destroying itself because of the contradictions inherent in it, one of which is that technological improvements increase productivity while decreasing wages. but what if vampiric neoliberalism and its attendant corruption and grift counteract those technological improvements? what if the endless series of middlemen involved in literally every project in the west actually save capitalism by virtue of making literally every process as inefficient as possible? agony-acid

Death to America

[–] plinky@hexbear.net 14 points 1 month ago
[–] Coolkidbozzy@hexbear.net 40 points 1 month ago (1 children)

wow that might be more than california high-speed rail

[–] ziggurter@hexbear.net 35 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

so-far

Calipornia is very good at making 6-month infrastructure projects take 15 years.

[–] wtypstanaccount04@hexbear.net 22 points 1 month ago (1 children)

to be fair CHSR never would have taken 6 months but it certainly should not take 15 years

[–] ziggurter@hexbear.net 11 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Right. That was just an example based on some local highway project in NorCal. The point is that the state is really, really, really bad at this stuff, whether intentional or unintentional.

[–] someone@hexbear.net 33 points 1 month ago

We don't even have weekend commuter train service from Kitchener-Waterloo (regional population over 500000 and a tech-industry hub) to Toronto, on plain old rails, which is only 100Km.

[–] Fishroot@hexbear.net 29 points 1 month ago

Sounds like a last ditch effort for the Liberals to get votes

[–] Barx@hexbear.net 25 points 1 month ago

If their government wasn't such a lapdog they could just work with China to install their systems in Canada.

[–] Gucci_Minh@hexbear.net 18 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Toronto has a project for metrolinx to build a 2km footpath that will cost 150million minimum. Not even a train, just a walking path. The grift in Ontario is insane, but from what I've heard its not even the most corrupt province lmao.

[–] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 17 points 1 month ago

More amerikkka-clap private amerikkka-clap public amerikkka-clap partnerships!

[–] FALGSConaut@hexbear.net 13 points 1 month ago

Bit idea: guy running for election on the traditionalist platform of hiring Chinese people to build a TransCanada railway