this post was submitted on 26 Oct 2024
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electoralism
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Wasn't there some research about Trump doing better than polls say because people don't want to admit they vote for him?
Any model worth any shit at all would already try to calculate that in by comparing previous poll numbers with previous election results
Embarrassed Trump voter is a common theory, but we'll only know when everything's said and done.
Pollsters may also be skewing things in Dem favor because of their performance in the 2022 midterms, when there's an argument to be made that was only the case because Donnie wasn't on ballot and he tends to overperform his polling