this post was submitted on 15 Oct 2024
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chapotraphouse
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Nate Silver did mention that he believes the NYT thinks there is a political realignment, with white color voters in suburbs being Dem while rural and blue collar workers vote GOP regardless of race. We did see the GOP wanting to do this in 2016 after Romney lost in 2012. Trump, despite his insane hatred of marginalized groups, is now taking these groups in thanks to Dems taking them for granted. It is believed these vorers vote in presidential elections, not midterms.
Nate silver has also gone back and forth on if this is a good idea. For midterms, yeah I see it working but for presidential elections? Absolutely not. And considering how insanely powerful the president is, nothing else really matters.
TLDR: Dems fucking love losing.