politics
Welcome to the discussion of US Politics!
Rules:
- Post only links to articles, Title must fairly describe link contents. If your title differs from the site’s, it should only be to add context or be more descriptive. Do not post entire articles in the body or in the comments.
Links must be to the original source, not an aggregator like Google Amp, MSN, or Yahoo.
Example:
- Articles must be relevant to politics. Links must be to quality and original content. Articles should be worth reading. Clickbait, stub articles, and rehosted or stolen content are not allowed. Check your source for Reliability and Bias here.
- Be civil, No violations of TOS. It’s OK to say the subject of an article is behaving like a (pejorative, pejorative). It’s NOT OK to say another USER is (pejorative). Strong language is fine, just not directed at other members. Engage in good-faith and with respect! This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.
- No memes, trolling, or low-effort comments. Reposts, misinformation, off-topic, trolling, or offensive. Similarly, if you see posts along these lines, do not engage. Report them, block them, and live a happier life than they do. We see too many slapfights that boil down to "Mom! He's bugging me!" and "I'm not touching you!" Going forward, slapfights will result in removed comments and temp bans to cool off.
- Vote based on comment quality, not agreement. This community aims to foster discussion; please reward people for putting effort into articulating their viewpoint, even if you disagree with it.
- No hate speech, slurs, celebrating death, advocating violence, or abusive language. This will result in a ban. Usernames containing racist, or inappropriate slurs will be banned without warning
We ask that the users report any comment or post that violate the rules, to use critical thinking when reading, posting or commenting. Users that post off-topic spam, advocate violence, have multiple comments or posts removed, weaponize reports or violate the code of conduct will be banned.
All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.
That's all the rules!
Civic Links
• Congressional Awards Program
• Library of Congress Legislative Resources
• U.S. House of Representatives
Partnered Communities:
• News
view the rest of the comments
Apologize for the lying
Ok great. Show me the lie and we can take it from there.
About her poll numbers declining and flat lining. She's only ever been going up and gaining momentum
Only if you live in an echo-chamber that is built to feed-back to you the things you want to hear instead of looking at actual data. Keep in mind, Trump supporters say the identical thing that you are saying about your candidate, about their candidate
Reality (for GA) (Data accessed, 10/10/24, 20:03:54 UTC, Silver Bullets, and a codeshare link for you to reproduce this figure):
Reality (for NC) :
Reality (for PA) :
Reality check. Harris did have real momentum coming out of the convention. She doesn't have it any longer. The rate of change in her polling has declined across all polls (eg, momentum) and even in some cases gone negative (she's losing ground). Harris was almost universially increasing or maintaining her momentum until about 2 weeks out from the convention. This has changed (as did her campaign strategy and messaging). Harris is no longer on track to win. She is on track to lose if these polling results hold true. As well, these figures are consistent across the swing states.
Florida:
Michigan:
Nevada:
You get the picture, and you have the tools to reproduce these results and come back to reality.
So do I get the apology right now or do I have to wait?
[Addendum: If you need access to Nate Silvers data to reproduce this, I can provide. Alternatively, you can use 538 and recode it a bit. Nates data is generally easier to work with and I'll drop the links below for completeness. I want you to be confident in these results. If you have trouble accessing, let me know.
AZ: https://static.dwcdn.net/data/PIfyl.csv
FL: https://static.dwcdn.net/data/cjyet.csv
GA: https://static.dwcdn.net/data/UsnHS.csv
MI: https://static.dwcdn.net/data/aXTQJ.csv
MN: https://static.dwcdn.net/data/9UhVa.csv
NV: https://static.dwcdn.net/data/cmRIw.csv
NH: https://static.dwcdn.net/data/3o8Wf.csv
NC: https://static.dwcdn.net/data/dU8Ti.csv
PA: https://static.dwcdn.net/data/Jhz1g.csv
TX: https://static.dwcdn.net/data/IRAjD.csv
VA: https://static.dwcdn.net/data/TgibS.csv
WI: https://static.dwcdn.net/data/8vbx4.csv
]