this post was submitted on 23 Sep 2024
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Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.


The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.

Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.

I don't know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.


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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 47 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (2 children)

bro, we have a deal for you bro. bro I promise we'll lift some sanctions bro. bro, I swear, it'll happen this time, we'll go tell Israel to do it. bro please, you gotta believe me. I know we broke the last deal but you can trust us this time bro

I do think it's idiotic for Iran to believe the US, but as deals between Iran and the US go, it's not the worst one they've tried to make. The worst case scenario is that they're in the exact same situation as two months ago. Does it allow the US time to get certain assets further into place? Yes, but we already knew that the US is going to commit naval forces to Israel no matter what, they'll always have an aircraft carrier or three to threaten the region (at least until maintenance forces them home). There was never going to be some critical moment where Iran could have done a big strike on Israel and the US goes "Ah, ya got me, that was very sneaky of you, we won't punish you for your clever move there because we didn't have everything in place yet." As long as Iran can (and does) carry out their response strike, things are still mostly okay.

Regardless, Iran is still very gullible and I'm not really sure why (it would be one thing if they did actually occasionally get something out of it but they never really seem to). But like with Putin going from wanting to join NATO to battling it, I'm not sure if there's any cure for this other than being bitten for their gullibility over and over and over again until finally the message sinks in that they cannot trust the West's word. Hopefully this is the last deal they try but I know deep down that it won't be, there's just some ideological weakness there that Yemen and Hamas and Hezbollah does not have. The others can resist siren calls but Iran has a goldfish memory and must be tied to the mast to prevent them jumping overboard. I've said previously that they're simultaneously the most useful and useless member of the Resistance Axis and if true, this deal only reinforces that.

[–] plinky@hexbear.net 34 points 2 months ago

One doesn't have to attribute to stupidity what can be attributed to ~~malice~~ material interests

[–] Commiejones@hexbear.net 13 points 2 months ago

This is going to sound like some 4th dimensional cope:

What if this is Iran's move that will stop usa from supporting isisael? isisrael has said "fuck you" to the usa when the only thing keeping them safe was Iran's ceasefire deal and the us navy. (and isisrael's air defence is just about tapped) When Iran retaliates now the us is the least likely to intervene it has ever been. Clearly parts of the usa have been trying to make isisrael stop and usa must have laid down some red lines and isisrael has crossed them.

Obviously biden and other top level zionists have no issues lying to Iran but top level Pentagon guys are counting their stocks and know they are fucked if they keep up the wars. Top level China hawks are fuming because every shipment to isisrael is another day they cant go to war with China. The people invested in europe are all pissed off because isisrael is stealing from ukraine.

With this ceasefire deal broken the deepstate voices demanding a ceasefire for their own reasons will be able to put more pressure on the zionists and they can threaten to throw their weight around in the election.