this post was submitted on 22 Aug 2024
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I actually expected worse than 11%, to be honest.
It does seem better than expected, however, they did control for "previous criminal history", which might make it seem better than it actually is?, as in, over the course of multiple police interactions the probability will go up, and that might be compounded by the issue that living in poorer areas means you're more likely to encounter police.
I did also, is that a good thing?
The headline kinda set up for something more dramatic, I think that's part of the problem.