this post was submitted on 17 Aug 2024
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[–] mozz@mbin.grits.dev 2 points 2 months ago (1 children)

These polls. Run it back to January and tell me which poll has someone other than Biden or Harris leading. There is one! I'll wait for you to find it and tell me who it was that won it.

There were some others, that weren't focused on the "democratic primary" category. I'll also wait for you to find one, and tell me which one has someone other than Biden / Harris winning, and who it was.

[–] Evilcoleslaw@lemmy.world 3 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

I personally have no issue with Harris as the nominee, the process that got her there, and she has my vote. But I'm not sure polls that are that hypothetical are worth very much when it wasn't a fully serious primary but more a rubber stamp on the incumbent.

If Biden would have decided not to run last year and let there be a full primary those polls don't really convince me that Harris would have been the nominee. (For one thing there would have been actually campaigns by her and by alternatives.)

[–] mozz@mbin.grits.dev 1 points 2 months ago (1 children)

What happened to the other person?

I've noticed that this happens a lot. It's "what poll?" "this poll" and then all of a sudden some other person jumps in with a new line of questioning. Sort of a multi-person version of Never Play Defense.

The second part of the question which I sent to the other person dealt very directly with the point that you're making. There was a pretty extensive process of polling during the time when it was trying to find people to thrust into place as a substitute for Biden before he withdrew. They did a bunch of matchups of various random name-familiar Democrats.

I absolutely refuse to accept the logic that it would have been better to have a month of infighting about who the candidate should be, as opposed to unifying behind a single strong candidate who was leading in the polls. Who would you rather have had?

[–] Evilcoleslaw@lemmy.world 3 points 2 months ago (1 children)

What happened to the other person?

I've noticed that this happens a lot. It's "what poll?" "this poll" and then all of a sudden some other person jumps in with a new line of questioning.

I have no clue. That's kind of a fundamental part of this format of social media. Multiple people can converse with different viewpoints.

I absolutely refuse to accept the logic that it would have been better to have a month of infighting about who the candidate should be, as opposed to unifying behind a single strong candidate who was leading in the polls. Who would you rather have had?

I don't think it would've been good either. Like I said:

I personally have no issue with Harris as the nominee, the process that got her there, and she has my vote.

I would've preferred this whole mess have been avoided so there could have been actual primary during the normal primary timeframe. Maybe Harris would've came out on top, maybe not. Without any campaigning I'm not going to take any of the "literally anyone besides who is actually running" polls from the primary season seriously.

[–] mozz@mbin.grits.dev 2 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

This is more what I was talking about

(You can find more like this at 538.)

I mean, I don't fully disagree with you that any number of polls like this aren't real representative of much. But, the point is that any time the voters were asked, they tended to prefer Harris as much as anyone else.

I actually fully agreed with everything you're saying until I saw how it worked out with Harris as the nominee and people's reaction to her. I'm sure the honeymoon won't last forever but it seems unlikely to me to see how that played out and then say "naw we should have done something different."