I know I’ve expressed dislike for the guy in the past, but seriously? I thought for even something like this, he would at least have a good take on it.
this post was submitted on 05 Aug 2024
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the_dunk_tank
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It's the dunk tank.
This is where you come to post big-brained hot takes by chuds, libs, or even fellow leftists, and tear them to itty-bitty pieces with precision dunkstrikes.
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There is zero reason to do this. What are the estimates based on? Why estimate percentages at all? Just count the votes and give us the corresponding percentages. You're telling me they knew the exact total number of votes but not the exact number of votes each candidate got? But somehow still had enough information to estimate percentages closely matching the final results? Why is everyone pretending this is not weird lol.
I even double checked where the numbers came from, thinking maybe a journalist calculated them from the CNE's percentages or something. But no, the CNE straight up officially said Maduro got 5,150,092 votes. They also don't give the total number of votes, meaning that number was obtained by adding up the results given by the CNE, and not the other way around as you suggested.
You're right that US elections are a sham. If the 2020 Iowa caucus happened in a Latin American country the
would have done their usual seriously-concerned-about-the-legitimacy-of-this-election routine. That's irrelevant to whether Maduro cheated or not though.
This question is basically, "why ever do a projection or estimate?" The answer is, "because you don't have all the data". In that same CNE announcement they said 80% of results had been transmitted.
They seem to have estimated turnout as well, which makes sense given that the final count wasn't done.
CNE's Aug 2 results announcement gave Maduro a nearly 1% higher victory.
Double standards such as those applied to Venezuela operate primarily by distorting perceptions through emphasis.