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My conviction that Putin is waiting to time the Russian offensive for October grows day by day

From the archives, RFE 2019

An Interview With Exiled Tajik Islamic Party Leader Muhiddin Kabiri (archive.is)

According to Tajikistan's government, the disbanded Islamic Renaissance Party of Tajikistan (IRPT) is a "terrorist organization" with evolving ties in the global network of extremist groups. The IRPT helped recruit citizens of Tajikistan to go to Syria and Iraq and join the ranks of jihadist groups, and even recently conspired with the militant group Islamic State (IS) to carry out attacks inside Tajikistan, Tajik authorities allege.

Qishloq Ovozi: Tajikistan's government says the Islamic Renaissance Party of Tajikistan (IRPT) is an extremist group and that you worked together with the so-called Islamic State (IS) extremist group in planning attacks in Tajikistan, such as the attack on the foreign bicyclists at the end of July. How do you respond to these accusations?

…

Since the authorities brazenly and maliciously accuse us of cooperation with IS, there are logical and direct questions one can pose. For example, why would we "order" a terrorist attack against citizens of European countries when are living in European countries, where they have given us protection, freedom, and shelter? How is that in our interests? If the Tajik opposition were willing to do such a thing, why against European tourists? Why not against the criminals in government, who are responsible for the deaths, suffering, and humiliation of thousands of the country's citizens?

Apparently, most of the leadership found political refuge in Poland, which probably has more to do with Poland’s well known sympathy for right wing revolutionary Islamic parties linked to ISIS than it has to do with the geopolitics of Poland and Russia…

https://tinyurl.com/MEC-RamadanCourse-3

Link to past sessions recordings https://www.youtube.com/@MidEastCritique

Justice For Marielle Franco: Detained Masterminds of Her Murder

The councilwoman’s family remains hopeful that justice will soon be done for Franco’s murder in 2018.

The Brazilian Federal Police reported on Sunday that they arrested three suspected masterminds of the murder of Socialist and Freedom Party (PSOL) councilwoman Marielle Franco on March 14, 2018.

According to Agência Brasil News and sources linked to the investigation, Domingos Brazão, current advisor to the Rio Court of Auditors, Chiquinho Brazão, Rio’s deputy, and Rivaldo Barbosa, former head of the Rio Civil Police who had been appointed to that position a day before the murder, were arrested today.

The arrest was ordered by the Supreme Court, which supervises the investigation since mid-2023, when the case was transferred to the federal level, after five years of virtual paralysis in Rio de Janeiro.

Agência Brasil also informed that there are still 12 search and seizure warrants, issued by the Supreme Court, all in the city of Rio de Janeiro. The action has the participation of the Attorney General’s Office and the Public Prosecutor’s Office of Rio de Janeiro.

''The operation is also supported by the Secretary of State for Civil Police of Rio de Janeiro and the National Secretariat for Criminal Policies of the Ministry of Justice and Public Security. The action targets the masterminds of the executions. Crimes of criminal organization and obstruction of justice are also investigated'', says the news agency.

"We are closer to Justice," says Anielle Franco. "God knows how much we dream of that day! Today is another big step in getting the answers we’ve asked ourselves so much in recent years: who had Mari killed and why?" said the Minister of Racial Equality and Franco’s sister, Anielle.

The Chief Minister of the Secretariat of Social Communication of the Presidency of the Republic, Paulo Pimenta, highlighted that measures taken since the beginning of President Lula’s term were decisive for the clarification of the Franco's murder.

Video: Bolsonaro, Facing Investigations, Hid at Hungarian Embassy - New York Times

Security-camera footage obtained by The Times shows that Brazil’s former president spent two nights at the Hungarian Embassy in an apparent bid for asylum.

On Feb. 8, Brazil’s federal police confiscated former President Jair Bolsonaro’s passport and arrested a pair of his former aides on accusations that they had plotted a coup after Mr. Bolsonaro lost the 2022 presidential election.

Four days later, Mr. Bolsonaro was at the entrance to the Hungarian Embassy in Brazil, waiting to be let in, according to the embassy’s security-camera footage, which was obtained by The New York Times.

The former president appeared to stay at the embassy for the next two days, the footage showed, accompanied by two security guards and waited on by the Hungarian ambassador and staff members. Mr. Bolsonaro, a target of various criminal investigations, cannot be arrested at a foreign embassy that welcomes him, because they are legally off-limits to domestic authorities.

The stay at the embassy suggests that the former president was seeking to leverage his friendship with a fellow far-right leader, Prime Minister Viktor Orban of Hungary, into an attempt to evade the Brazilian justice system as he faces criminal investigations at home.

The Times analyzed three days’ worth of footage from four cameras in the Hungarian Embassy showing that Mr. Bolsonaro arrived late on Monday, Feb. 12, and left the afternoon of Wednesday, Feb. 14. In between, he mostly stayed out of sight.

The Times verified the footage by matching it with images of the embassy, including satellite imagery that showed the car in which Mr. Bolsonaro arrived parked in the driveway on Feb. 13.

A Hungarian Embassy official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss internal affairs, confirmed the plan to host Mr. Bolsonaro.

After this article was published, Mr. Bolsonaro confirmed his stay at the embassy. “I won’t deny I was at the embassy,” he told Metrópoles, a Brazilian news outlet, on Monday. “I have a circle of friends with some world leaders. They’re worried.”

The Hungarian Embassy did not respond to a request for comment.

Mr. Bolsonaro and Mr. Orban have had a close relationship for years, finding common ground as two of the most far-right leaders in democratic nations.

Mr. Bolsonaro called Mr. Orban his “brother” during a visit to Hungary in 2022. Later that year, Hungary’s foreign minister asked a Bolsonaro administration official if Hungary could do anything to help re-elect Mr. Bolsonaro, according to the Brazilian government’s summary of his comments.

In December, Mr. Bolsonaro and Mr. Orban met in Buenos Aires at the inauguration of Argentina’s new right-wing president, Javier Milei. There, Mr. Orban called Mr. Bolsonaro a “hero.”

Mr. Bolsonaro faces deepening criminal investigations in Brazil. In the 15 months since he left office, his home has been searched, his cellphone and passport confiscated, and several of his allies and former aides arrested.

The cases that target Mr. Bolsonaro involve a variety of accusations, including that he took part in plots to sell jewelry he received as state gifts while he was president and falsified his Covid-19 vaccination records in order to travel to the United States. Brazil’s federal police last week recommended criminal charges against the former president in the case involving the fake Covid-19 vaccine cards, but prosecutors have yet to weigh in.

Hours later, Mr. Orban posted a message of encouragement for Mr. Bolsonaro, calling him “an honest patriot” and telling him to “keep on fighting.”

On Feb. 12, four days later, Mr. Bolsonaro posted a video online calling his supporters to a rally in São Paulo that month. “I want to defend myself from all these accusations,” he said in the video. “Until then, God willing.”

Later that day, he went to the Hungarian Embassy. In the moments before his arrival, security footage shows Miklós Halmai, the country’s ambassador to Brazil, pacing and typing on his phone. The small embassy was mostly empty, except for the handful of Hungarian diplomats who live there. Local staff members were on vacation, because Mr. Bolsonaro’s stay came in the middle of Brazil’s national Carnival celebrations.

At 9:34 p.m., a black car appeared at the embassy gate. A man got out, eventually clapping to get the attention of someone inside. Three minutes later, Mr. Halmai opened the gate and indicated where to park.

Mr. Bolsonaro and two men who appeared to be security guards exited the vehicle. Mr. Halmai led them inside. After chatting briefly, the four men got into an elevator.

The specter of prison time for Mr. Bolsonaro has prompted wide speculation that he might try to flee justice. Two of his sons have applied for Italian passports, prompting the country’s foreign minister to publicly deny that Mr. Bolsonaro, who has Italian heritage, had also sought citizenship.

The evening before he left office, Mr. Bolsonaro flew to Florida and stayed for three months. One of his most prominent supporters, a far-right pundit named Allan dos Santos, has been able to avoid arrest in Brazil on accusations that he threatened federal judges as he has sought political asylum in the United States.

Two weeks after Mr. Bolsonaro’s departure from the embassy — it is unclear why he left — he held the planned rally in São Paulo. Independent observers estimated that 185,000 supporters attended. At the rally, Mr. Bolsonaro repeated his defense that he was the victim of political persecution.

He and his lawyers have argued that Brazil’s Supreme Court abused its power, meddled in the 2022 election and is now trying to jail him and his allies. They have recently pointed to recordings of a former Bolsonaro aide, whose confessions have become key to the investigations, claiming that investigators have a predetermined narrative that Mr. Bolsonaro is guilty.

In the weeks since, Mr. Bolsonaro’s legal woes have worsened. The country’s Supreme Court released documents that showed the leaders of Brazil’s Army and Air Force told the police that, after losing the 2022 election, Mr. Bolsonaro presented military leaders with a plan to overturn the results. The military leaders told the police they refused and warned the former president they might arrest him if he tried to do so.

Mr. Bolsonaro said this month that he was not worried about being arrested.

“I could very well be in another country, but I decided to come back here at all costs,” he said at a political event. “I’m not afraid.”

PSA: /r/UkraineRussiaReport is no longer private.

I've vouched for it in the past, and I'll do it again. It's a very good subreddit to follow if you're fixated on the war in Ukraine like me.

Interesting how it's becoming somewhat of a boogeyman on Reddit, just like /r/CTH was.

Turkish elections: Opposition declares victory in Istanbul and Ankara

PFLP Music Video, can people name the faces on the posters? I recognize sheikh Ahmed yassin, but who are the others?

https://streamable.com/uqrmcy

Communist Creative Repository (Pluto: Here is the Notion document I was talking about, containing "all" communist or at least leftist media and fiction that I could find; suggestions wanted.)

https://hexbear.net/post/2168857

My dad works for the UN and I had to meet Macron 💀