this post was submitted on 26 Feb 2024
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The war in Sudan has so far been marked by a lot of incompetency and mismanagement by government forces (the SAF). After months of bitter fighting, in late 2023, the opposing Rapid Support Forces suddenly expanded their control towards the southeast of Khartoum after not a lot of resistance, most notably taking the city of Wad Madani. This led the SAF supporters and officials to panic and point fingers at each other about what the hell the army is even doing, while RSF soldiers looted the city.

These victories led to a short period in late December and early January where diplomacy and peace talks were considered, but such attempts fell apart. The leader of the RSF visited various African countries, including meeting Paul Kagame in Rwanda, to boost his legitimacy. Then, the RSF attacked into South Kordofan and consolidated their hold on other areas.

The Sudanese capital of Khartoum sits on a river which divides it from the city to its west, Omdurman (see the post image). The SAF and RSF have been fighting over this grand urban area for the whole war, with the RSF holding most of Khartoum (with an entirely cut-off SAF force holding on in the center), with a similarly cut-off SAF force also in eastern Omdurman, up against the river. For 10 months, this force has been under siege - but no longer. In perhaps the first actual W of the war for the SAF, they finally managed to break the siege a week ago, pouring supplies in. This leaves a section of the RSF now cut off, though Omdurman is still not under full SAF control (and, who knows, the whole situation could once again go badly for the SAF).

Meanwhile, the Sudanese socioeconomic situation has completely collapsed, with potentially a 20% fall in GDP and 8 million people displaced, with 2 million from Khartoum alone. 18 million Sudanese, or about a third of the population, is in acute hunger, and 20 million children are out in school. The refugees streaming out of the country are causing knock-on effects in neighorboring countries like Chad. Nobody is even really counting the dead anymore.

Red is the government forces, the SAF. Blue is the RSF opposition. Other colours are various factions.


The Country of the Week is Sudan! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Sunday's briefing is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 36 points 10 months ago (2 children)

Ancap Update: ancaptain

Attacking Lula while trying to ask Lula for money:

Milei shares messages associating Lula with Hamas and praising Bolsonaro's act

A message shared by Milei also described Bolsonaro's speech as "a historic speech" and in defense of freedom

A message shared by Milei also described Bolsonaro's speech as "a historic speech" and in defense of freedom. The Argentine president also shared a message stating that Sunday would define "the course of politics in Brazil and the resistance against the dictatorship of Lula da Silva".

Lol

A final message described the event as a "massive anti-Lula protest" and showed a video of Bolsonaro waving an Israeli flag, referring to the diplomatic crisis generated by the statement in which Lula compared Israel's actions in the Gaza Strip to those of Adolf Hitler against the Jews.

I saw a tweet showing a flag with Bolsonaro and Bibi with Genociders in Hebrew there. :troll:

At the beginning of February, Argentina's Economy Minister Luis Caputo said that he was counting on Brazil to help Argentina overcome the serious economic crisis it is facing and that the only difference between the two countries is in soccer.

Caputo rn: oooaaaaaaauhhh

Chairwoman of the Workers' Party, Gleisi Hoffman, says Milei is making a mockery of himself by acting like a kid and sharing messages associating Lula with Hamas "Talking about dictatorship in Brazil is totally irresponsible, and it's even more serious if it's reproduced by the president of a neighboring country, a friend and trading partner," said Gleisi.

"Milei should first take care of solving the serious problems of the people of Argentina. He was elected to do that, but he prefers to offend Lula and persecute Brazilian students in his country", said Gleisi.

Governors Revolt in Southern Argentina

The governors of the 6 provinces of Argentine Patagonia want to suspend oil production in the provinces from Wednesday. The provinces are demanding that the government unblocks the provincial participation funds.

La Pampa, Chubut, Río Negro, Tierra del Fuego, Santa Cruz and Neuquen have all agreed on the issue and have formed a kind of bloc.

Btw, Macri's party gave support to the governor of Chubut. Milei is fucked lol.

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[–] edge@hexbear.net 36 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

American elections seem like they’re getting kind of predictable. It’s all pretty much reaction to the previous election.

Trump gets elected in 2016, voters react by giving the house to the Dems in 2018 and the senate and presidency in 2020.

…to which voters reacted by giving Republicans the house in 2022.

I think I can predict the next few elections with probably reasonable accuracy.

2024: Trump wins, Rs get senate and house
2026: Ds get control of the house
2028: Some Dem wins the presidency, Ds take back the senate also.

After that it might be more like 2008-2016 where Rs slow burn getting Congress back and whatever dem is president gets re-elected. That’s just the same thing but slower.

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[–] nurjahreszeiten@hexbear.net 36 points 10 months ago (4 children)

I dont want to go full lib here but is it somehow possible to track if someone is a hasbara bot? I would be down to build a database and an webpage, but not like the lib version of the isralis that track "antisemites", I would only give access to people with rich comment and post history or i could make it that every entry has to be reviewed... My motivation is that we won't forget who took part in this and maybe build a ban list. Sorry if its extremely lib, in my currently situation I can't do much more and I really want to do something.

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[–] Alaskaball@hexbear.net 35 points 10 months ago (1 children)
[–] ThomasMuentzner@hexbear.net 36 points 10 months ago (1 children)

I will do that ! and i put a Archer SPG on top as a Bonus !

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[–] Kaplya@hexbear.net 34 points 10 months ago (6 children)

Hate to say this but Biden has likely stopped prior momentum of dedollarization in Latin America. Ideological export is the most potent weapon of American imperialism.

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[–] plinky@hexbear.net 34 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (7 children)

Sometimes framing in jacobin leaves me baffled, mates are you leftwing journal or fucking politico. (article in question)

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 33 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Bolsonaro Fails again

A study by Torabit cited in Estado de S. Paulo shows 46.2% of all social media comments on Bolsonaro's anti-Supreme Court protest this morning were negative, 27.5% positive & 26.2% neutral. The Federal Police crippled Carlos Bolsonaro's social media "hate cabinet".

According to the conservative Estadão newspaper, Bolsonaro's anti-Supreme Court protest didn't make Brazil's top ten most popular google search queries today. The list was dominated by football teams, topped by Santos, who beat São Bernardo in the S.P. state championship

Bolsonaro shoots himself in the foot again. During his speech at the anti-Supreme Court protest in S. Paulo today, he admitted there was a written plan to coup the Lula govt, falsely claimed it was legal & demanded amnesty for jailed coup plotters - acknowledging their guilt.

180,000 is still a big crowd. How did it happen? There'll be 5568 mayoral elections on 10/06. Conservative candidates from across the S. and SE. paid for social media ads and brought thousands to SP via hundreds of charter buses.

Greater Sao Paulo packs 22 million people into an area half the size of Greater New York. Organizers clearly assumed that more locals would come out. Obviously many did, but they didn't come close to hitting he expected numbers.

3x lower than expected turnout, Bolsonaro incriminating himself by providing evidence for the Federal Police in the Jan. 8, 2023 coup attempt investigation, and underwhelming social media stats make this hard to call a success, regardless of how the inter. far right frames it.

Bolsonaro's anti-Supreme Court protest organizers said they expected a turnout of 700,00 yesterday. University of S. Paulo researchers using P2PNet methodology say the number was closer to 180,000. Conclusion: there was a failure of organic reach.

Seems like Bolsonarists are angry at the Police because the Police agrees that there only 180k people there.

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