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Where will the tourists go? Europe’s winning and losing destinations due to the climate crisis
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At +4° we'll have worse problems than a 5% decline of tourism in a southern regions. Like fighting for survival after civilization has collapsed.
Yeah, I'd be quite surprised to see large increases in tourism anywhere in a +4° world...
Antarctica and the north pole will likely see a significant rise in tourists/refugees, no?
Don't kid yourself. The north pole will just be an incredibly boring bed of dead water like any other ocean by then and Antarctica will likely be just a bunch of rocks, possibly leaking gas that was trapped under ice for millions of years. At least there will be some nature in scandinavia to look at through a big window in an air conditioned cruise ship.
Wouldn't that take quite a while? As far as I understand it humanity will get centuries or even millenia of an ever rising sea level. That's gonna be fun.
Well yeah, there might be some exceptions. But in a 4° world, economic collapse is very likely, and tourism would be one of the first industries to die out. Antarctica has no soil to speak of, so not exactly a good place to settle. The most northerly lands will indeed be interesting to settle in at some point, though I wonder how long the adjustment period would be (e.g. as long as the permafrost is melting, the ground will be unstable)