this post was submitted on 07 Aug 2023
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I'll go with the others and say use a simple three fund portfolio.
The general idea is, if you are comparing your performance against an index, why not just buy the index? Most investors fail to beat the S&P 500, so if you buy an S&P 500 fund, you'll be doing better than most over the long term.
Here's my personal target portfolio:
Instead of going for an index like the S&P 500 that targets the top 500 companies, I want to buy all the companies at market weight. So here's my ideal portfolio with US Vanguard funds:
My actual portfolio is a bit messier because of fund availability, but it's pretty close to the above. For example, my workplace doesn't have a cheap total US market fund, so I split between an S&P 500 fund and a small cap fund in an 85/15 split.
I'm considering adding bonds now that yields are more interesting and I'm almost close enough to retirement to start ramping in to them, but for now I only own a handful of short term treasuries as part of my efund. But if I did own bonds as part of my retirement portfolio, I'd either own or approximate BND.
Just out of curiosity, since I'm also considering bonds, what is "close to retirement" enough to consider non insignificant bod allocation?
That's totally up to you. My personal number is about 5-10 years from retirement, though I'm pretty risk tolerant.
My plan is a rising equity glidepath. Basically, I'm going to load up on bonds (20-40% bond tent) a few years before retirement, and then ramp back down to no bonds in the first 10-20 years of retirement. I'm planning to retire early, and this plan seems to have a higher chance of success vs a consistent bond portfolio given a >30 year retirement.
The same strategy works for a shorter retirement, and you can keep your bond allocation constant as well. This strategy makes sense if you have a high risk tolerance, but recognize the need for portfolio stability in retirement. If you have a lower risk tolerance, do the "normal" strategy that target date funds use: 10% starting out, and increase as you get older.